Last week’s CPI report sent shockwaves through bond markets. It came in extremely hot.
Other inflation indicators are running very hot as well.
Interest rates have gone up incredibly fast as investors fear a very hawkish Federal Reserve.
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Blog Archives
D(ata)-Day
by 
Gary Carmell
Posted in Apartments, COVID 19, Economy, Interest Rates, Investing, Stock Market, Uncategorized, Wealth
2 Comments ↓
Gary Carmell
Posted in Apartments, COVID 19, Economy, Interest Rates, Investing, Stock Market, Uncategorized, Wealth
2 Comments ↓
I have been turning to charts more regularly for my weekly blog posts than I have in the past. Like most people, I see many of the challenges and price pressures resulting from the massively disrupted global supply chain. It shows up in terribly unreliable contractors (I’m having a pool built so I am experiencing this first hand) and the significant increase in the cost of materials that are leading to the rationing of some goods like plywood and even chlorine.
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Inflation - Temporary Peak or Just Starting?
Inflation is clearly one of the hottest topics for investors in particular and society more generally as the following chart shows. Core inflation has not moved commensurately with the exploding interest in the topic.
The following charts show why inflation is such a hot topic.
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A Muddled Approach to Guesstimating Libor's Next Peak
by Gary Carmell
Posted in Economy, Interest Rates, Investing, News, Stock Market, Wealth
No Comments ↓
Gary Carmell
Posted in Economy, Interest Rates, Investing, News, Stock Market, Wealth
No Comments ↓
Although I’m in the camp that the Fed will stick to its word and not raise short-term interest rates until after 2023 at the earliest, the market is betting differently. Rather than focusing on when the Fed will start raising rates, let’s assume that they will.
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I Won't Back Down - Powell and Yellen versus Wall Street
by Gary Carmell
Posted in COVID 19, Economy, Housing, Interest Rates, Investing, News, Stock History, Stock Market
1 Comment ↓
Gary Carmell
Posted in COVID 19, Economy, Housing, Interest Rates, Investing, News, Stock History, Stock Market
1 Comment ↓
Well, I won’t back down
No, I won’t back down
You can stand me up at the gates of hell
But I won’t back down
No,
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GamePop and the Lollapalooza Effect
Here is GameStop’s stock price chart for one month. Setting aside that it was up 62% for the time and day when I captured this screenshot, it’s up over six times during this one month period. And at its peak, it was up about 10 times!
Now let’s look at a three-month view and the meteoric rise can be put in more perspective.
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Let's Get Real
by Gary Carmell
Posted in COVID 19, Economy, Interest Rates, Investing, Manufacturing, News, Stock Market, Trends, Uncategorized, Wealth
1 Comment ↓
Gary Carmell
Posted in COVID 19, Economy, Interest Rates, Investing, Manufacturing, News, Stock Market, Trends, Uncategorized, Wealth
1 Comment ↓
The jobs report released on Friday was disappointing.
Disappointing Job Growth
Perhaps the report shouldn’t have been such a surprise on the downside based on this chart.
It would appear that job seekers are less confident about their prospects as they have significantly reduced their searches.
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Confucius Say Beware of Superspreader
by Gary Carmell
Posted in Economy, News, People, Personal, Stock Market, Uncategorized, Wealth
1 Comment ↓
Gary Carmell
Posted in Economy, News, People, Personal, Stock Market, Uncategorized, Wealth
1 Comment ↓
With China having gotten a lot of heat for Covid-19 I thought I would end this post with advice that I think one of its great philosophers would have given had he been alive today. Confucius lived between 551-479 B.C. According to Wikipedia,
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Interest Rates: Lower for How Much Longer?
“We’re not thinking about raising rates —
we’re not even thinking about thinking about raising rates,”
Jerome Powell during 6/10/20 press conference
With interest rates at record lows, this is a time when many people are strongly considering locking in long-term,
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The Positives of Being Negative
Ok, let’s get this out of the way first since this blog has a subliminal purpose of being a diary for major economic and financial milestones so this is one I can’t ignore.
Now to the subject at hand.
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