The Philosophical Investor's Blog

A Week in the Life of Schizophrenic Bond Investors

Schizophrenic Bond Investor

What a difference a week makes. Last week I wrote about how the Fed starting to unwind its balance sheet shouldn’t cause us much worry in terms of triggering a meaningful increase in interest rates. Of course, yields spiked higher over a few days to seemingly contradict my sanguine outlook.

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The End of QE I, II, & III – The Fed Portfolio Reduction

Fed reduces bonds

The Fed’s balance sheet is comprised of approximately $2.5 trillion in Treasury securities and $1.8 trillion in mortgage backed securities.  The following graph shows how its balance sheet has grown since 2009 through 2014 when it stopped its bond-buying program.

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Housing – Is It The Best Long-Term Investment?

housing long-term investment

In some ways, it is understandable why the subprime meltdown took place. Prior to 2006 home prices in the United States in the post World War II era rarely, if ever, declined materially on a sustainable basis. Based on this rearview mirror modeling investors in mortgages were led to believe that default rates would be manageable and if they did default then losses would be negligible because recovery rates would be strong because home prices kept rising.

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What Will High-Income Blue Staters Do? New Tax Regime

high income new tax laws

Now that there is a new tax regime in place I thought I would discuss it one more time with some additional thoughts. It does appear that while most parts of the country will not be significantly impacted by the mortgage interest deduction being reduced to $750,000 for future home purchases,

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Living Up To The High Expectations of Dragon Parents

dragon parents

Michael Gershon was President George W. Bush’s speechwriter for the first 6.5 years of his administration. One of the most famous lines he wrote was “the soft bigotry of low expectations.” Some people thought that it was a bit harsh in that President Bush was saying that in some ways we’re putting more emphasis on compensating disadvantaged minorities by focusing on what obstacles they are up against rather than raising them up with higher expectations.

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How Could The New Tax Laws Impact Housing?

Tax Housing

I typically wouldn’t discuss Tax Reform until it has passed since it would usually be speculative, I am making an exception given that many of the parameters are known and because of its potential impact on housing. The basis of the plan was to cut the corporate tax rate first and then work around the constraints that Senate rules and supposed deficit hawks impose on the process.

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Love as the Basis for Customer Service and Marriage

Love Gary and Roneet Carmell

In this third and final post related to The Art of Loving by Erich Fromm, this week I will talk about the ways that Fromm says we can learn how to master the art of love and how it can be applied to serving one’s customers.

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How to Find the Road to Concentration

concentration

“A lot of other people are trying to be brilliant and we are just trying to stay rational. And it’s a big advantage.”

~ Charlie Munger

The Roadmap to Concentration

Continuing with some important takeaways from Erich Fromm’s The Art of Loving,

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Cultivating the Art Form of Loving

I recently completed a wonderful, classic book called The Art of Loving by Erich Fromm. It has great applicability to all relationships, not just your primary one with your spouse or significant other. I found there was also a lot to apply in terms of helping us at CWS to build upon our tremendous focus on communicating with and serving our investors.

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Insurance and Questionable Models Managing Risk

“I write because I don’t know what I think until I read what I say.”

― Flannery O’Connor

This blog post is pretty much just for me as insurance is not a very exciting topic but has great importance to all property owners,

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