Blog Archives

Psychopaths Don’t Always Finish First

psychopathShakespeare said, “[a]ll the world’s a stage.” All of us are actors in the plays of our lives.

The best actors make us believe they are not acting by morphing into whatever role they play with the totality of their humanity. The worst ones are not very believable.

Read more ›

Posted in Advice, Economy, Investing, News


The B.I.S. vs. Japan – Increase In Global Interest Rates?

Japan Global Interest Increase

A few weeks ago I wrote about a B.I.S. report that hypothesized that global interest rates would rise over the next few decades as global demographics shift from a labor supply shock to a shortage as labor forces shrink in many developed countries.

Read more ›

Posted in Economy, Investing, News, Trends, Uncategorized, Wealth


The Separation Is In The Preparation For CWS

Preparation

It was quite a week of action for CWS, particularly for our risk management, safety, construction, operations, asset management, human resources, marketing, and maintenance teams. We have been having very early calls (at least for me on the west coast) every morning, including over the Labor Day weekend,

Read more ›

Posted in Advice, Apartments, Economy, Housing, News, Wealth


Houston – We Have A Problem!

Harvey-Hurricane-Harvey

With the extraordinary events that took place in Houston, southeast Texas, and Louisiana as a result of Hurricane Harvey I felt that it was much more relevant to discuss this catastrophe versus part two of demographics and interest rates emphasizing Japan.

Houston: Hurricane Harvey

An estimated 27 trillion gallons of water has blanketed southeast Texas and parts of Louisiana.

Read more ›

Posted in Apartments, Economy, News, People, Trends, Wealth


Maybe I’m Wrong? Slowing Trend In The Advanced Economies

Economies

One of the key premises that I have with regard to interests rates staying low for a very long time relates to demographics. The United States is projected to grow more slowly in the future and as a result the labor force growth will also slow which will make the productive capacity of the country lower than it otherwise would be absent material gains in productivity.

Read more ›

Posted in Economy, Investing, News, Wealth


Historical Context Of The Confederate Statue Controversy

Robert E. Lee Statue Controversy

Whenever there are significant events that take place, particularly those with some historical context, I like to take a step back and, if possible, go back in time and find real-time sources to generate a better understanding of what people were thinking at the time. The terrible events in Charlottesville was a catalyst for me to take this approach.

Read more ›

Posted in Economy, News, Trends, Uncategorized, Wealth


Financier vs. Feminist – A Generational and Gender Point/Counterpoint on the Google Engineer’s Manifesto

Ariella-Gary-Carmell-Google-Engineer

Let us put men and women together, see which one is smarter,

Some say men, but I say no, women got the men like a puppet show.

It ain’t me it’s the people that say,

Read more ›

Posted in Economy, Housing, News, Trends, Wealth


The Case Against The Phillips Curve

Phillips Curve

The unemployment rate is the most important indicator for people who are believers in the Phillips Curve. Phillips Curvers believe that there is a trade-off between unemployment and inflation. The less slack in the labor markets (lower unemployment rate) the more inflation there will be as labor can bargain for higher wages and this,

Read more ›

Posted in Advice, Economy, Interest Rates, Investing, News, Stock History, Uncategorized, Wealth


Hitting the Wall? Is The Fed About to Make a Mistake?

Fed Interest Rate Hike

With last week being dedicated to a much-enjoyed vacation, I thought I would let pictures do more of the talking this week.

Not surprisingly, the Fed increased its benchmark rate by 0.25%. The market fully priced this in. What is more surprising is the Fed telegraphing two more hikes in 2017 and commencing a slow reduction in its holdings of Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities beginning at the end of the year.

Read more ›

Posted in Advice, Economy, Interest Rates, Investing, Stock History, Trends, Wealth


Deep Domain Knowledge – Finding Your Calling

niece Dr. Wolf - May 2017

A few weeks ago I referenced Bob Dylan’s recommendation that we find our calling. I saw this in action last week and had this supplemented by some of the things I read. I had the pleasure to go to Philadelphia to attend the graduation of my niece from the University of Pennsylvania where she was awarded a Ph.D.

Read more ›

Posted in Advice, Economy, Investing, News, People, Personal, Uncategorized, Wealth


Categories

Free Insights