Blog Archives

Emily Dickinson - Hope Is Not a Strategy

I many times thought Peace had come

When Peace was far away—

As Wrecked Men—deem they sight the Land—

At Centre of the Sea—

And struggle slacker—but to prove

As hopelessly as I—

How many the fictitious Shores—

Before the Harbor be—

-Emily Dickinson 

Every so often I will read poetry to tap into timeless thoughts and wisdom.

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December Is Back in Play

It’s been awhile since I have had a blog post with a lot of charts and graphs. This is largely because my typical source for these, www.thedailyshot, had been off line for a long period of time.

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The Cockroach Theory Is Now Live


Powell’s Pivot and Market Tightening: Cockroaches Emerging in Credit Markets

The financial markets are flashing warning signs that deserve attention. Federal Reserve Chair Jay Powell’s recent shift in focus, combined with tightening money markets and emerging credit problems, suggests we may be entering a more challenging environment for credit quality.

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Don’t Look Back in Anger — Jerome Powell

Jay Powell September FOMC Rate Cut

🎸 Don’t Look Back in Anger — Jerome Powell’s Pivot Ballad

Subtitle: A Fed Chair’s Lament in the Key of Regret

Intro: Leadership flows best when it’s adaptive,

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Stand by Me: The Fed Will Cut Three Times

Stand by Me: The Fed Will Cut Three Times

The two big events last week were the release of the non-farm payroll report and Heather and I attending the Oasis concert at the Rose Bowl. I will target discussing the latter next week while focusing on the former for this week’s blog.

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A Jackson Hole Farewell

Jerome Powell indicates conditions 'may warrant' interest rate cuts as Fed proceeds 'carefully'

Fed Chairman Jerome Powell gave his annual Jackson Hole address last week. It’s almost assuredly his last one and is a fitting end to his tenure as it remained consistent with his personality and approach which is to be measured and flexible versus narcissistic and dogmatic.

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Make Fear Your Friend

Make Fear your friend

Wisdom from Warren Buffett

“Fear is the foe of the faddist, but the friend of the fundamentalist.” (1994)
“A climate of fear is their best friend. Those who invest only when commentators are upbeat end up paying a heavy price for meaningless reassurance.”

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Little Bets -Should Highest Cost Debt Be Repaid First?

debt

I recently read a summary of an interesting piece of research that is somewhat counterintuitive at first glance but upon deeper reflection makes more sense and it’s the cornerstone for one of life’s great metaphors, you’ll see what I mean.

Little Bets -What We Can Afford to Lose vs.

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New - Debt Worries - Then and Now

Debt Worries
A blog for the curious skeptic –
There’s nothing new under the sun
(or at least very little)

I’m a big fan of newspaperarchive.com. I have a rather anti-social hobby of often going back and reading old newspaper articles. Occasionally I come across some worth sharing. The following is one written on March 18,

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The Intelligent Ignoramus

The Intelligent Ignoramous

With this week’s blog, I will inevitably get drawn into the morass of politics by reposting this tweet from X.

Colby Badhwar @ColbyBadhwar vance is intelligent buy profoundly ignorant

Ignoring the typo in which “is” should have been “his” the post made me wonder about the paradoxical intersection between intelligence and ignorance.

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