Blog Archives

Make Fear Your Friend

Make Fear your friend

Wisdom from Warren Buffett

“Fear is the foe of the faddist, but the friend of the fundamentalist.” (1994)
“A climate of fear is their best friend. Those who invest only when commentators are upbeat end up paying a heavy price for meaningless reassurance.”

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Little Bets -Should Highest Cost Debt Be Repaid First?

debt

I recently read a summary of an interesting piece of research that is somewhat counterintuitive at first glance but upon deeper reflection makes more sense and it’s the cornerstone for one of life’s great metaphors, you’ll see what I mean.

Little Bets -What We Can Afford to Lose vs.…

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New - Debt Worries - Then and Now

Debt Worries
A blog for the curious skeptic –
There’s nothing new under the sun
(or at least very little)

I’m a big fan of newspaperarchive.com. I have a rather anti-social hobby of often going back and reading old newspaper articles. Occasionally I come across some worth sharing. The following is one written on March 18,

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The Intelligent Ignoramus

The Intelligent Ignoramous

With this week’s blog, I will inevitably get drawn into the morass of politics by reposting this tweet from X.

Colby Badhwar @ColbyBadhwar vance is intelligent buy profoundly ignorant

Ignoring the typo in which “is” should have been “his” the post made me wonder about the paradoxical intersection between intelligence and ignorance.

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Buckle Up

Trade Wars buckle up

I can’t believe I’m saying this but I kind of miss the days when interest rate concerns were at the forefront of investor concerns, including mine.

Beige Book mentions of _interest rates' or related words_phrases

Now it’s been replaced by trade and tariff fears.

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Notes from Abu Dhabi...And One from Oman

Abu Dhabi sovereign wealth and pension funds

Last week I was in Abu Dhabi for a one-day conference, and then Heather and I went to Oman for a few days. There were approximately 150 people at the conference, with a strong representation from the Abu Dhabi sovereign wealth and pension funds.

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Method Behind the Madness?

Trump Tariffs

The bond market detests Donald Trump’s approach to tariffs. 

Treasuries Suddenly Trade Like Risky Assets in Warning to Trump

Equally importantly, it appears that much of the American public does as well. This chart should scare Donald Trump as independent voters are now very concerned about inflation spiking in the near future.

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Gradually and Suddenly...Real Time

Trump TariffsNick Maggiulli @dollarsanddata

Live Updates_ S&P 500 Down over 10% in 2 Days as Trump Upends the Global Order

Dow slides 2,200 points as stocks seal historic rout spurred by Trump's tariffs

I have written a lot over the years about how global events and markets often follow the path of how one of Hemingway’s characters said he went bankrupt.

“How did you go bankrupt?”

Two ways.

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Tariff Canaries in the Coal Mine

Tarrif Canaries in the Coalmine

This week is my first anniversary with Heather. It’s been quite a year of growth, challenges, wonderful experiences, and a lot of laughs. I’m looking forward to many more years of navigating a beautiful journey together. It’s not easy to find one amazing partner in life,

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A 21st Century German Blitzkrieg

Germany Blitzkrieg

In a recent blog post I wrote about Trump moving (abandoning?) away from Ukraine as Europe’s Sputnik moment. Germany and France, the two biggest economies in Europe, no longer believe that the United States can be counted on to defend Europe so it’s now imperative they take far more control of their own destiny and not put Europe’s fate in the hands of the United States.

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