Blog Archives

Stocks Drop and Jobs Contract

Stocks Drop and Jobs Contract

One can see from the following charts from Sentimentrader.com that the last 100 trading days have been one of the worst periods in terms of stock returns in modern history. 

Stock History 12-31-1946 12-31-2001

And while the jury is still out as to whether we will have a recession over the next year,

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Recession Watch

Recession Watch

There’s no question now that the Federal Reserve is in full hawkish mode. The release last week of the minutes of the previous FOMC meeting left no doubt that they are on an aggressive path to squelch inflation through demand destruction and tightening financial conditions.

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What Is Happening Inside His Head...And Psyche?

Putin Hitler Peter Drucker

I often wonder what he is feeling

Has he ever heard a word I’ve said?

Look at him in the mirror dreaming

What is happening in his head?

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Let He Without Sin...

Banking soap box investing

I’m going to get on my soapbox for this post. I was talking to a friend who was picking my brain about banking relationships as he was thinking about switching banks for his business and he wanted to know about the one I use.

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Happy 90th Bill!

Bill Williams

I wanted to take this opportunity to dedicate this blog post to Bill Williams, one of the founders of CWS. He just turned 90 and I have had the pleasure, honor, and great privilege of knowing Bill since 1987 when I started working at CWS.

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Housing: What Inning Are We in?

Housing innings apartments interest rates

Investors are always asking the question what inning are we in when it comes to where we are in a particular cycle. It’s a pertinent question related to housing as it has had a tremendous run in terms of home price appreciation, equity build-up among homeowners, and tremendous profits for builders and investors.

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Reflections on The Importance of Habits from A Booster and Blow to the Head

habits booster

The more I go through life, the more convinced I am of how so much of what we do and who we are are a compilation of our habits. Of course, habits can be beneficial or harmful. It goes without saying that we should strive to build up and sustain the good ones and avoid or eliminate the counterproductive ones. 

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Cats in London (Not the Play)

Gary in London with Beer in November 2021

I was in London last week for my first international trip since March 2020. It was nice to be overseas again. Given time constraints I will target sharing more of a pictorial journey of my trip after I get back. I like keeping a travel log via this blog as it can serve as a diary of my excursions around the world and gives me a place I can return to if I want to revisit some of those trips.

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Afghan Realities and Applications to Planning

Taliban Afghanistan

One of the reasons I am such a big fan of Charlie Munger is that he is ruthlessly realistic. He and Warren Buffett believe that the key to Berkshire Hathaway’s incredible success is that they are built for rationality.

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What Is Top of Mind? Housing or Inflation?

Housing Inflation

The answer? See for yourself, is it inflation or housing or both?

If Google Trends are any indication then inflation has been a top-of-mind topic.

Inflation

CPI – Consumer Price Index

This is not surprising as one has to be a survivalist living far away from civilization and fully self-sufficient to have not been impacted by rising prices and slower delivery and service times.

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