I read a very interesting theory about Donald Trump‘s master strategy when it comes to the trade war with China. Trump believes that he can win a trade war, but he can’t do it alone. He sees that the Chinese are reacting with an aggressive fiscal and monetary stimulus to counter the negative impact of the trade war on their economy and believes the United States needs to do the same.
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I received a memo from a very successful real estate developer and investor whose expertise is industrial properties. He produced a thoughtful memo as to why now is the time to take a pause from investing for fear that investor euphoria is elevated and there are unsustainable macro trends that pose a great risk to investors.
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I have to confess that I’m feeling a bit guilty about something. A few weeks ago someone sent me a message on LinkedIn within 15 minutes (if not less) of me accepting his connection request. My usual experience with that one-two punch is not very favorable as it often relates to someone wanting to sell me something,
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This is going to be a short blog post, given my travel schedule last week. I have been talking for a while now about the narrowing yield curve and the prospects for it inverting. The 10-year Treasury finally went lower than the 3-month Treasury bill,
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Gary Carmell
Posted in Economy, Interest Rates, Investing, News, Uncategorized, Wealth
1 Comment ↓
I’ve been pleasantly surprised so far with regard to how well our rent collections have held up since the onset of COVID and the corresponding economic carnage. On average, we’ve been collecting across our portfolio about 98% of what we have billed.
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Last Monday’s announcement by Pfizer that its Covid-19 vaccine was more than 90% effective in preventing the illness sent an earthquake through financial markets, eliciting the worst day in history for momentum stocks. Momentum stocks have been the best performers and investors invest in them believing that strength creates more strength which will lead to outperformance.
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China has been capturing a lot of headlines with the implosion of the country’s largest homebuilder, Evergrande. It has an estimated $300 billion in liabilities and approximately 1.4 million homes under construction or with deposits obligating them to build homes in the future.
Evergrande Group Insolvency
This is a big deal as a disorderly collapse of the Evergrande Group can have huge ramifications on the economy and social stability.
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A couple of months ago I wrote about the unfolding energy challenges related to the sharp recovery out of Covid and the transition to renewable energy sources. The article talked about coal and how the demand for it has increased significantly while supply has dropped due to Covid and the utter disdain for it as an energy source due to its carbon emissions.
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Let us put men and women together
See which one is smarter
Some say men, but I say no
The women got the men like a puppet show
It ain’t me –
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Gary Carmell
Posted in Apartments, Economy, Interest Rates, Investing, Stock History, Stock Market
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One can see from the following charts from Sentimentrader.com that the last 100 trading days have been one of the worst periods in terms of stock returns in modern history.
And while the jury is still out as to whether we will have a recession over the next year,
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