Blog Archives

Covid Housing Fever

housing market fever

I subscribe to The Daily Shot which is an economics and finance-oriented site that aggregates a tremendous number of charts to give investors a great visual overview of key aspects of the economy, both domestic and global, as well as financial markets.

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Hold Your Judgments Lightly In a State of Disequilibrium

Disequilibrium

This blog post was inspired by one recently written by Dilbert creator Scott Adams. He is such a brilliant guy and was so right about Trump that I will forever hold him in the highest of esteem.

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Post-Election Chart Frenzy

post election

First of all, kudos to the tremendous participation among Americans in the electoral process. This election galvanized Americans into participating in the democratic process. Love or hate Trump; there is no question that he is a catalyst for stirring emotions and action.

Preliminary Data Suggests Highest U.S. Election Turnout Since 1900

It was fascinating to see how markets reacted as information was released related to the election.

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Maximum Flexibility - Work from Anywhere

Maximum Flexiblity Work from Anywhere

The following chart shows that people are the most comfortable returning to work within a month or less as compared to other activities. The percentage is 65% so there is still a substantial minority who are still concerned about returning to their previous work environment. 

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Confucius Say Beware of Superspreader

Confucius Say Beware of Superspreader

With China having gotten a lot of heat for Covid-19 I thought I would end this post with advice that I think one of its great philosophers would have given had he been alive today. Confucius lived between 551-479 B.C. According to Wikipedia

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A Brutal Dichotomy: Time For Another Meaningful Stimulus?

Brutal Dichotomy: Tightening Fed Stimulus

Fiscal stimulus has now started to contract while the Fed’s monetary support for the economy has tightened quite significantly over the last three months. See what the following charts show:

U.S. Fiscal Thrust Policy Expansionary Policy Contractionary Stimulus

Fed Balance Sheet Impulse 10-2020 Stimulus

The following is from The Washington Post and shows how significant the support for the unemployed has been and how it will drop materially if no stimulus package is passed.

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Known Unknowns from Alaska - CWS Planning Meeting

A couple of weeks ago, I had the pleasure of traveling to Alaska for a small CWS planning meeting on a private boat. To enter Alaska without being quarantined, one had to prove he or she tested negative for COVID, which fortunately I did.

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Tennis May Have Saved My Life

Tennis saved my life

Over the past year or so I’ve been writing a lot about tennis and how it has taken on greater importance as it has enriched my life in many areas. It has improved my health, particularly my endurance, it’s been a catalyst for creating new relationships,

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Turn and Face the Strange - Advice for Successful Life & Investing

David-Bowie-Strange

There is understandably a lot of fear, trepidation, and obsession about death and mortality. When I find myself inspired to think more deeply about particular subjects, I often find myself going back to some of the world’s great philosophers. In this case, I turned to Socrates who had an interesting perspective on death.

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The Fed's New Inaction Function

Federal Reserve inaction

Fed Approves Shift on Inflation Goal

Federal Reserve Chairman Jay Powell officially altered the Fed’s reaction function during his virtual speech given for the annual Jackson Hole conference. More accurately he articulated its inaction function. Rather than being trigger happy to tighten monetary policy and raise interest rates as inflation reaches 2%,

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