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Election Aftermath Fiscal Data What Will Be the Bottom Line?

Fiscal Policy

For the last few years, the Fed has been telegraphing that monetary policy cannot do all of the heavy lifting and that fiscal policy had to play a role as well. The market seemed to agree with the Fed and is also the reason that the market very rarely believed the Fed’s dot plot of the future path of interest rates.

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Life and Death Location Decisions - Innovative Technology Sectors

Decisions high tech

When we started to scale our apartment business in the mid to late 1990s our location decisions were based on investing in cities that would be highly appealing to knowledge-based workers. It was starting to become clear that economic growth would be driven by technological innovation deployed widely throughout U.S.

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Man Up Revisited - Winners Like Apple and Amazon

Apple Amazon.com

In an earlier blog, I discussed a fascinating study that asked whether stocks outperformed T-Bills. Surprisingly, the answer was that most stocks do not and the bulk of stock market returns have come from an incredibly small number of companies that have produced the estimated $32 trillion in wealth (returns in excess of T-Bills) between 1926 and 2015.

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What's the Frequency, Kenneth?

personality

In 1986 Dan Rather was attacked on the streets of New York City by an assailant who kept asking “Kenneth, What’s the frequency?” And if Dan Rather hoped to forget about the incident this became impossible as R.E.M. memorialized it with their huge hit in 1994 of a slightly different title called What’s the Frequency,

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Power of Visualization: What Do You See?

Visualization

I recently read an article I enjoyed very much that touched on the importance of visualization in the context of  how to find the next million dollar idea. I highly recommend the entire commentary as it is extremely well thought out and quite holistic in its approach.

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Should You Focus Relentlessly On The Process Or Goals?

Process or GoalsPaul O’Neill, who ran Alcoa and quintupled profits during his 13-year tenure, famously focused on one keystone habit to transform the company. It’s worker safety. Analysts and investors couldn’t believe their ears when he was introduced as the new CEO when he said that would be the company’s most important focus.

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Suck it Up and Tough it Out - The Lessons Hardship Can Teach

Polish Kresey 1944 tough

Tom Petty used to sing that you don’t have to live like a refugee. On the other hand, John Mellencamp said “suck it up and tough it out, be the best you can.” So what would most people choose?

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Winner Take Most - Can Firms Gain a Large Share of the Market?

Google Firms

Income inequality has many economic and societal impacts. When more wealth is concentrated in fewer hands, this can negatively impact aggregate demand as a large percentage of marginal dollars earned are saved versus spent. And since one person’s spending is another person’s income, a growing pool of savings will lower aggregate demand unless one or more sectors of the economy spend more than it earns as output will go unsold and have to be marked down for it to clear.

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Why I'm Writing The Book: The Philosophical Investor

Why I'm Writing a Book[Updated March 11, 2015]

“We should write because writing brings clarity and passion to the act of living. writing is sensual, experiential, grounding. We should write because writing is good for the soul. We should write because writing yields us a body of work, a felt path through the world we live in.”

― Julie Cameron

Writing is one of my greatest pleasures.

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How to Unify Countries - The Power of Sports

Unify Gary with Tribal Leader

With the World Cup having been completed this past weekend I thought I would tap into some interesting research about soccer and its ability to unify countries that are typically very tribal and fractious. I saw some of this firsthand during my recent trip to Africa where it was pretty evident that tribalism is very much alive and well.

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