Blog Archives

All Eyes on the Consumer

All Eyes on the Consumer GDP

One of the things I’m constantly reminded of from playing tennis is the power of consistency. If you can play each facet of the game reasonably well, you don’t have any glaring weaknesses, and you have the anticipatory skills and speed to have effective court coverage,

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Lucky 36

Novak Djokovic Gary Carmell chai

Last week there were two notable events for me. The first was watching the extraordinary Wimbledon Final between Novak Djokovic and Carlos Alcaraz, and the second was my 36th anniversary at CWS.  In Judaism, the number 18 is a lucky number because it is connected to life in Jewish numerology. 

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Preparing for Slams

French Open at Roland Garros on June 4, 2023

I had the great privilege to attend the French Open at Roland Garros on June 4th. We saw two women’s matches and one men’s match involving Novak Djokovic. This was the first time I saw Djokovic play in person, so I was really happy we had tickets on the day he was playing on center court. 

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Van Revisited with a Little Help(less) from Neil Young and Family

Van Morrison with his daughter Shana Morrison

With the exception of writing about interest rates. I do make a concerted effort to have content on my blog be fresh and try to avoid repetition. With that being said, however, there is only so much one can write about that is novel and insightful.

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Do College-Educated Parents Have Higher Earning Kids?

Educated

There is overwhelming evidence that the higher the educational attainment one has the more one will earn in his or her lifetime. Is there a correlation between the educational attainment of the parents and their kids? Recent Interesting research carried out by the Federal Reserve shows this is clearly the case and quantifies this as the following chart shows.

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How to Find the Road to Concentration

concentration

“A lot of other people are trying to be brilliant and we are just trying to stay rational. And it’s a big advantage.”

~ Charlie Munger

The Roadmap to Concentration

Continuing with some important takeaways from Erich Fromm’s The Art of Loving,

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10 Years Later: Getting in the Game and Staying in the Game

10th Blogging Anniversary May 2, 2013

This week is the 10th anniversary of my website going live, and during this decade, I have fortunately been able to write a blog each week without interruption. It has helped me become more observant and focused while on vacations knowing I will write about some of them while away.

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The Squeeze Is On

Squeeze FRED

As this chart shows, the yield continues to invert with 3-month Treasury Bill yields substantially higher than 10-year Treasury Note yields.

10-year treasury constant maturity minus 3-month treasury constant maturity 1986 - 2023

As I wrote about previously, Fed Chairman Jay Powell discounted traditional yield curve indicators such as the differential between 10s and 3-month T Bills and 10s and 2-year Treasury yields.

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Random Musings and Wonderful Memory Triggers

Memory Musing Spanish Flu

This is one of those weeks where I don’t have anything pressing I feel I need to convey or work through to gain clarity so I thought I would share some random thoughts related to the coronavirus, surveying data, economic reports, and health tip. 

Coronavirus vs.

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Be Indispensable!

Be Indispensable

Like many people who have had long careers and experienced the inevitable ups and downs that go with any long-term venture, I often reflexively respond to those asking for life-changing advice by telling them to do what you love. Actually, it’s more do what you’re passionate about,

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