I’m admittedly obsessed by pandemics. I’ve been listening to the course on the Black Death via the Great Courses, I was in China at the tail end of SARS in 2003 and was intensely focused on what life was like during that time there, and of course,
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Blog Archives
Revisiting the Spanish Flu: What Can a Dire Pandemic Look Like?
by 
Gary Carmell
Posted in Economy, Housing, Stock Market, Trends, Uncategorized, Wealth
No Comments ↓
Gary Carmell
Posted in Economy, Housing, Stock Market, Trends, Uncategorized, Wealth
No Comments ↓
2020 - Coming in Hot
2020 has started off with some geopolitical fireworks that have carried over to financial markets as the headline below attests.
This is another good example of why having a hedge with U.S. Treasuries (and maybe a little gold as well) can be helpful to provide a counterweight to risk assets that inevitably take a mild beating,
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2019 - A Year in Review
I make a concerted effort to avoid each day rolling into another without any distinction. I never want to look back on my life and have nothing stand out. I think this is one of the reasons I blog each week. It helps me reflect on my life and gives me the opportunity to bring forth those experiences,
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What Movie Are You Creating And Watching?
Scott Adams is someone I follow and I appreciate his insights about persuasion and human nature. He often says that everyone is living their own movie. They write the scripts and they have cast them with characters they have developed with personalities they have created for them.
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Economic Gain, Treasury Pain
by Gary Carmell
Posted in Economy, Investing, News, Stock History, Stock Market, Trends
No Comments ↓
Gary Carmell
Posted in Economy, Investing, News, Stock History, Stock Market, Trends
No Comments ↓
It’s been a brutal couple of weeks for Treasuries as the following headline from Bloomberg attests to on September 13th.
10-year yields bottomed on a closing basis on September 3rd at 1.47% and have shot back up to 1.90% as of September 13th.
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Think Globally Act Locally
There has been some criticism of Fed chairman Powell as he has gone from saying this in early October 2018:
To telegraphing this on July 10th:
Those who are upset by his dovish turn are irked because they feel like he is kowtowing to the market and Trump who is forcing his hand despite record high stock market averages,
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Hurricanes & Markets: What Happens to Stocks and Bonds?
Hurricane Michael created unfathomable devastation to Florida Panhandle beach communities. What was particularly insidious was how fast it formed and deprived people of precious time to evacuate. This picture is one representation of the fury of Mother Nature and the wrath she brought down.
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Treasury Note Yield: Could I Be Wrong? A Humbling Week
Talk about a humbling week. Last week I was making the case that 3.11% on the 10-year Treasury note yield and possibly as high as 3.16% were the key levels that I did not think would be breached. This chart shows how wrong I was.
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