Blog Archives

The Manipulative Function: George Soros Theory of Reflexivity

I recently re-read George Soros’ lectures at Central European University from October 2009. He gave five of them and they will be something I return to over time. Soros’ most formative experience was as a 14-year-old in 1944 and having escaped the Nazis out of Hungary.

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I Don't Buy It So I'm Selling It

Selling

I probably should have written this two weeks ago but I wanted to finish my Munger trilogy. I dislike when hindsight bias is used and prefer when people tell me when they are going to do something or just did and the reasons for it so that the decision can be evaluated objectively.

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Man Up! Munger On The Benefits Of Diversifying Investments

Diversifying

This is the last in my three-part series excerpting what were the highlights for me from Charlie Munger’s extemporaneous comments and responses to questions at the Daily Journal shareholders’ meeting. Most financial professionals recommend diversifying your investments to avoid being wiped out financially and/or emotionally.

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From Proust to Proctologists - Charlie Munger on Personal Development

Proctologist-Charlie-Munger

This week I continue with lessons learned from Charlie Munger and the answers he gave to shareholder questions at the Daily Journal annual meeting held in February. Last week I focused on delayed gratification and this week I will turn to his thoughts on personal development.

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Marshmallows, Munger, and the Benefits of Delayed Gratification

marshmallows munger

Warren Buffett and Bill Gates were interviewed recently to discuss why they are both so optimistic about the future of America as well as other issues. Naturally, one of the topics covered was philanthropy as Gates and Buffett are leading the charge with regard to the Giving Pledge and the two have given more money away than other people in the world.

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Compound Interest and How to Create Tremendous Wealth Owning Great Real Estate Long-Term

Waldorf Astoria Compounding Interest

“Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it … he who doesn’t … pays it.”

-Albert Einstein

 

Waldorf Astoria Recent Sale Showing the Benefit of Long-Term Real Estate Ownership and Compound Interest

Another quick one this week given how busy a week it was.

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From Obama to Trump: 180 Degrees or More of the Same?

President Obama to Trump
From Obama

This post is a blatant application of hindsight bias. We all now know that when Barack Obama won the election and subsequently took office, the economy was melting down and the financial markets were in a free fall around the globe. To refresh your memory, there was the bailout of AIG by the Fed,

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Inflexibility When you Need it Least

Inflexibility

I have often made the case that apartments and home rentals are highly valuable because of the flexibility they provide people to move for whatever reason. Housing became way over-owned in the 2000s and this did great damage to our economy and society. I finally came across some interesting research that explored how damaging it was for underwater homeowners in terms of limiting their geographic flexibility to seek out employment and how this impacted their long-term earning power.

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Here We Go Again - Another Wild Ride for Stock Markets

Stock Updates

[UPDATED – January 25, 2017] The DOW opened today above 20,000. The rally from 19,000 to 20,000 was one of the fastest in history. What do these numbers mean? We need to look back at the following from 2015 looking at the historical data.

Last week [August 2015] was one wild ride for stock markets around the world.

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Fanatics, Emotions, and It's Impact on Your Decision-Making

emotions Gary Carmell

With the college football NCAA National Championship game taking place on January 9, 2017, I thought it would be apropos to write about a fascinating study about how emotions can negatively impact people’s lives when decisions are made. The paper is called Emotional Judges and Unlucky Juveniles.

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